Top 8 Bottom 3, your 2010 season predictions are here
Rather than do a serious and stuffy analysis of last season’s “Top 8″ and where they are going wrong, going right, or going just plain mad, I thought I’d just riff for a few minutes on each team starting with the Champions and ending with Everton. From there I figure that I can work out who will make the drop and write a paragraph about the one dark horse that might throw a wrench into things.
The point of this article isn’t that I make perfect predictions, if I could do that I wouldn’t be giving away the advice for free, rather I’m just setting down a marker here. Think of this as a point of discussion, a place for you to tell me what you think, rather than me pretending I know everything (for once!).
Chelsea
Easily the strongest team last season despite missing their midfield engine in Michael Essien for large chunks. Internal strife threatened to tear them apart midway through the season until they realized that actually none of them are good human beings and put aside the fact that John Terry’s was just the latest example of horrible behavior.
The cliche is that they are older and thus slower or more prone to injury and in a sense this is true. John Terry certainly has lost a step, but they have also shed a lot of their older players and are bringing on “younger” talent like Alex who, at 28 years old, is in his prime. Carvalho, Deco, Ballack and Joe Cole have all been uncerimoniously dumped while the club has still held on to their key components in Cole, Terry, Lampard, Essien, Mikel, and Drogba.
Their one problem might be their lack of youth players and their lack of “homegrown” players. I read somewhere that they only have 5 sr. homegrowners and if that’s the case, they will only be able to name a 22 man squad. Of course, they could always go out and buy some players and fill in, but so far they haven’t done that. Maybe they are waiting until the last minute to see who Arsenal are going for and then scupper that deal like they have always done.
Anyway, hopefully, the rigors of the Premier League combined with some kicks from the new challengers like Manchester City and Tottenham will see them fail to retain the League title — but I wouldn’t count them out. League: 3rd place. Win: FA Cup
Man U
Man U didn’t get the memo last year. You know, the one that said “losing 2/3 of your top scorers, who combined for 40 goals and 14 assists SHOULD make you much weaker.” Instead, they signed Owen Goale and freed Rooney to run riot over everyone. This is why, despite the fact that they are still reliant on Giggs and Scholes, and they only really bought Smalling and Hernandez you can’t write them off.
Sure, Rooney hasn’t scored since March 30th and this should be a huge problem, but it isn’t. They have already won their first trophy (the Charity Shield) and in their first match they destroyed Newcastle. Their problem is a lack of consistency and if whiskey face can’t get the best out of them in every game they could finish out of the top four. League: 4th place. Win: Charity Shield
Arsenal
Well, I’ve already done Arsenal! League: 1st place. Win: Carling Cup. Champions League: Eliminated by Real Madrid
Tottenham
If Mancini had a brain in his head, Tottenham would have finished 5th, but he doesn’t and they didn’t and now Tottenham are a club that is full of cock sauce and believe that they are magically going to overtake their North London rivals.
Right.
Here’s all you need to know about Tottenham: they looked good for the first few minutes of their home opener but soon after reverted to form and slumped to a 0-0 draw against City. They also will look good against Young Boys in the Champions League and get into the group stages only to be eliminated by some team from Greece. Meanwhile, the toll of having the entire squad play in every international friendly while Chelsea and Man U rest the England A team will, erm, take it’s toll. They are pretenders, always have been pretenders, and always will be pretenders. League: 8th place. Win: they will beat Wigan 3-0 at some point.
Mancity
Mancini is probably looking at the season and thinking that there are days of wine and roses ahead but he’s going to find it hard to get this baby elephant to walk. They have so much talent that you have to think they will make a title push but they also have a manager who started the first game playing a 4-3-2-1 with three holding midfielders. You could say that it sort of worked, having all that lumber in midfield did keep Tottenham off the scoreboard, but you need to have someone who can open up a defense and especially one as soft as Tottenham’s. You simply can’t go into game starting Yaya, Barry, and de Jong in midfield unless your only hope is a tie and as my regular reader knows, I always say ties don’t win Championships.
Sorry but they will need to clear out the dead wood they have as manager if they realistically want to challenge for anything, which they will do, probably next week. League: 2nd. Win: Fastest manager firing
Aston Villa
Villa will find life hard after Martin O’Neill. His brilliant tactical nous and ability to spend loads of money on players while whingeing on about everyone and everything surely would have secured at least uhhh, 8th place or so. And now look, their best player, James Milner is off to join Moneybags City. I know they looked good in their first match but they were just eager to show their new boss how much they hated O’Neill, plus West Ham are CRAP. That was a flattering scoreline. League: Somewhere below 8th. Win: Most number of articles complaining about Arsene Wenger calling them a long ball team again.
Liverpool
New boss Roy Hodgson has struck a belief in the team and his signing the world’s best player in Joe Cole is just what they needed to shore up their decrepit back line. Oh wait, no it wasn’t. Cole was utter crap against Arsenal, making just 7 passes and getting sent off for one of his typically rash challenges. Meanwhile Hodgson showed the world what tactics he plans to employ all season: Stevie V in the second holding role and lob the ball up to a lone forward. Yawn. Same old Liverpool but hey, they will probably win the Europa League now that Hodgson has one or two actually talented players who have a history of winning in Europe. League: 5th. Win: Europa League.
Everton
Or as my friend calls them Eeeverton. Good manager, well organized, fun to watch at times, I actually have nothing bad to say except I guess that like Arsenal they develop young players, have a good academy, and live within their means. Only they do it at a much lower level than Arsenal do. Consequently, they will have a really hard time breaking back into the top four. League: 6th. Win: The 7amkickoff official seal of approval, right up until the first Merseyside Derby where both teams somehow become animals to delight the crowds.
RELEGATION!
Uhhh… well Blackpool was the team I thought would get relegated but they already have three massive points. West Ham on the other hand, were crap and have confirmed my feeling that they will be easily relegated this year. Wigan were also crap, as I suspected they would be, and lost to Blackpool. I’d like to see Newcastle back down where they belong and Stoke is a perennial favorite of mine to make the drop as well. SO MANY CHOICES…
I’m going with the all “W” relegation this year: West Ham, Wigan, and West Brom with Wolves vying for 4th worst!
Dark Horse
What happens if Blackburn is taken over by a billionaire and Sam Allardyce is given £100m transfer kitty? They might even get all the way up to 7th place AND as a bonus, if he acts now, he’ll also get an entire season of “Big Sam” going on and on about how he “did” Arsenal. OH JOY.
Comments
Agree with your top 4 for this season, but not the order, but everyone is different, and you are a “wild/wide-eyed optimist”.
I’d say: 1st Chelsea, 2nd/3rd ManU/Arsenal (depending on a new gk/cb), 4th ManCity, 5th Liverpool, 6th Tottenham, 7th Everton, 8th Birmingham/Villa
United also signed Bebe, Portugal’s Homeless World Cup 2008 striker. Funny. But, I hope he has a good career.
@Joe, We will win the league if we have fewer injuries than last year. We will win the league if we purchase two defenders and a strong assertive goal keeper. We will win the league if we beat Chelsea and Man U at home and draw them away.
Without these variables, Arsenal will come third. P.S. I really love my team, but being realistic helps me through the long winter season.
1st: The Arsenal
2nd:Chelsea (whoever finishes above them will win the league)
3rd:Liverpool (should have enough experience and quality to beat the league’s lower lights and that’ll be enough for 3rd)
4th: Man City (a very negative midfield will cost them a higher position)
5th: Man Utd (you have to respect them but I don’t think many united fans would argue against me saying this is their weakest team for a couple of years)
6th: Everton (shouldn’t have as slow a start this year)
7th: Tots (Champions League will suck the life out of them)
8th: there’s 5 or 6 teams that could finish here
Relegated: Blackpool, Wigan and Weat Brom
@Murt, *West Brom
On a totally different subject, Ajax play in the Champions league qualifiers this afternoon.
Hope to catch Verthognen in the game.
Couple of points, Tim.
Mikel’s not a key player. He’s about as key as Denilson.
Charity Shield ain’t really a ‘trophy’. It’s a pre-season friendly about as much a trophy as the Emirates Cup or the European Super Cup.
Other than that, top write up. Loved the ‘they will beat Wigan 3-0 at some point’. Priceless.
My prediction:
1 Arsenal
2 Chelsea
3 United
4 City
I concur with your W’s too:
18 Wet Hams
19 Wet Broms
20 Wet Wigans
No point wasting my speculative breath until I get to see what we look like on September 1st.
Right now we look well short of being league winners. Depth again the problem.
You guys all underestimate ManU. I hope you are right, but I know you are NOT.
Tim is picking Real Madrid to beat us in the CL only because they signed Ozil today. Otherwise we would win the treble.
I haven’t a clue where we will end because I haven’t seen the real Arsenal yet. We still don’t know how much of a WC hangover Cesc and RVP will have. We need to see how we look from mid September on once Koscienly gets a little more ‘seasoning’, the Makh Attack figures it out, and our new GK (Given/Schwarzer) makes up sit up and breath a sigh of relief on set pieces.
This is a f/u on an earlier posting concerning Sanchez Watt’s foray into the underworld of lower league football: http://www.skysports.com/story/0,19528,11688_6318588,00.html
Now Mourinho has his replacement for Kaka/Guti in Ozil. If I’m Barcelona, I would be worried that Mourinho seems too have a ‘real’ football plan.
Man City now looks like a roid monster as they finally sign Milner and let Ireland go to Villa. Man City don’t need a coach, they need a ringmaster and will probably need a ‘football whisperer’ before it is all said and done. Just who is suppose to be supplying the Man City forwards with passes from the midfield is what I want to know?
I still think Man U will finish in the top 4 because those old dogs still can hunt and will find a way to win.
Go Young Boys, go!
Last time I checked, Man City did not buy Maicon, C. Roanaldo, Wesley Sneijder, Alves, Xavi, Iniesta, Zanetti, Pirlo, etc., etc., etc. No playmaker, no wins. Milner is not a playmaker, hell even Bellamy had more assists (7-8) than most midfielders.
heh, totts losing to young boys 1 – 0, 4 mins
@dsqd, Oh what joy! At 28 minutes, the spuds are down 0-3!!!!!
Arsene, Arsene wait up a minute. Put down that phone to Fulham. Not is Given now in play but half of Ajax just came on the market: http://www.sport.co.uk/news/Football/42323/Ajax_admit_Steklenburg_Van_der_Wiel_and_Suarez_could_leave.aspx
It is a buyers market now and we can pick and choose who we want and how much we want pay
@ctpa, clicked on that link but then got distracted by the babe of the week……… what was i saying?
Correction: Not only is Given…
sp*rs 2 down
3!!???! WTF?
spunks are down 3-0
its now 3 down
Spurs 3 down. I should hope that they get in the group stages as it will hurt their league position, but it’s still funny as hell. I mean, the other team couldn’t be more hilariously named, either.
This means if they go out now we get more tv cash from the group stages.
How’s that work?
Less English teams in the group stages the tv money is shared out to Arsenal, manu and chelsea. we more cash
left out get
Sweet. Hold the phone though. Spurs pulled one back.
They’re playing on artificial grass. I thought that shit was banned.
@Patrick, Arsenal use artificial turf, woven in to the real grass:
http://www.prnewswire.co.uk/cgi/news/release?id=168560
Damn. I did not know that. That is just weird.
I wonder can I get that for my lawn. I’ve got some sad brown patches and I don’t know if it’s ever going to rain again here in the Northeast.
@Patrick, I love it when my lawn goes brown, less to mow.
@Patrick, http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/aug/18/tottenham-harry-redknapp-artificial-surface
@Patrick, Young boys play on astro turf which is a relic and why ‘Arry can’t risk Ledley King’s knees. Even Sp**s play on Desso turf which is what we have at The Emirates and as well as at Anfield.
3-1. Square defence by Spurs. The change before half time made the difference. Still think Spurs will win.
You just could not make this up…….Spuds getting buggered by The young Boys at Wankdorf stadium…Love it.
The possibilities are limitless.
LONDON CALLING: HELLO EVERYONE: Tim my name I don’t disagree with your prediction, however my input is as follows: We will win the league if we have fewer injuries than last year. We will win the league if we purchase two defenders and a strong assertive goal keeper. We will win the league if we beat Chelsea and Man U at home and draw them away.
Without these variables, Arsenal will come third. P.S. I really love my team, but being realistic helps me through the long winter season.
London Out:
@margarette adrien,
Getting off to a bad start on the injury issue….Nasri is out for a month now…..
Apparently ‘Arry showed his European football naivete by starting out 4-4-2. If he had a Uefa Pro license he would have known better.
Modric off with ? groin, Defoe off with a hamstring and Sp**s still trying to get a handle on the game.
@ctpa, Spuds pull one more back.. They might go through to the group stages now!! Dang..
3-2 Young boys. Too bad they let in 2 away goals.
Poor spuds, todays result must have dealt their plans of releasing a commemoratory DVD a serious blow.. Tut-tut!!
@Akash, Don’t forget the commemorative tea sets, tea cozies and coffee mugs.
This season seems to be the perfect season for Arsenal. Nobody seems to be talking about us. Nobody is talking about us dropping out nor is anybody give us a chance to win anything. I think this will be the season Arsenal goes on to win somehting that will begin Arsenal’s dominance in the league and Europe.
http://www.livesoccertv.com/teams/england/arsenal/
So far so good for us here in the states, ESPN 2 supposedly picking up the next 2 of our matches, according to this link. The lack of Setanta this season scares me though, as my provider hasn’t yet picked up FS+. Damn Uverse!
@Kevin, Thanks for the link, Kevin. Good to know there are options besides pluncking down another $15 per month for Fox Soccer Plus.
@JV Mauer, The US dot com has also confirmed these (they seem to lag a bit behind in posting, but are probably being overly cautious until the schedules are finalized):
http://www.arsenal.com/usa/news/features/where-to-watch-arsenal
Steklenburg and Vertonghen are now cup tied.
Michael Dawson, England international defender.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010/aug/17/craig-bellamy-roberto-mancini-cardiff
Man City may be the elephant in the transfer market but it nice to see how they are ‘pensioning’ off their rejects. Players like SWP did not mind sitting on their skinny asses and rusting away on the Chelsea dole.
@ctpa, Admittedly it puts him closer to his family in Wales. Bellemy may be a nutter, but at least his priorities are in order.
Nasri is knacked for a month
@Akash, deja vu, hopefully this will give Wilshire more opportunity to shine alongside our captain.
@Kevin, Following Arsenal does give you a chance to hone your medical knowledge. I have learnt name and function of many bones/ligaments which I would have previously referred to as simply a bone or a ligament.
More on the cartilage Nasri seems to have injured
http://orthoinfo.aaos.org/topic.cfm?topic=a00358