Monthly Archives: March 2012

Arguably Arteta was the player on the wing the most

Everton 0-1 Arsenal: in which clichés are abused and broken

The first man to compare the cheeks of a young woman to a rose was obviously a poet; the first to repeat it was possibly an idiot.
– Salvador Dali

That’s the thing about cliches isn’t it? They are simultaneously pointed and idiotic. For example, to say that Arsenal “needed three points” yesterday was true, when do they not need three points? When they are 4 points in front of the second place team going into the last game of the season? Oh you mean, “when they have won the League”? It’s true, when Arsenal have won the League, then they no longer need three points.

The problem as I see it is that many of the cliches associated with Arsenal are subtler than “they need three points today” which is what makes them pernicious. Take the old chestnut that “Arsenal can’t defend a lead.” While it’s true that Arsenal have been turned over quite spectacularly in recent memory (the 4-4 draw against Newcastle will forever mar Arsene’s record) I have also seen Arsenal perform admirably in the defensive department such as the 2-1 win over Barcelona and in yesterday’s 1-0 win over Everton.

The entire Arsenal back five (plus Song) had a great game against Everton. In fact, the last time I remember Arsenal playing that well as a defensive unit was against Barcelona, as I have already pointed out and will continue to point out until it becomes its own cliche. Obviously, Everton aren’t Barcelona¹, but Everton are a spirited team¹ who came out to play in the second half¹ and really put Arsenal to the sword.¹

No, really, I mean all of those cliches! Damnit!

As I pointed out in my By the Numbers column on Arseblog News Arsenal basically spent 70 minutes of yesterday’s match defending. After about the 19th minute, Arsenal had already accumulated 8 of the 14 shots they would take in the entire game. Since they had the goal that gave them the lead in the 8th minute they played cautiously which, honestly, was refreshing. Part of the reason why Arsenal are known as a team who can’t defend leads is because they tend to continue playing with an attacking style of football no matter what the scoreline is. You don’t get an 8-2 scoreline by packing in the defense, usually.

Yesterday they didn’t do that. Well, mostly. Koscielny had three runs forward which I found to be a bit odd but when he went forward, Song dropped back. Similarly when Vermaelen played as center forward for a few minutes in the second half (which nearly resulted in a second goal I might add) Song covered.

The point here is that there was a balance and a defensive awareness¹ that the Arsenal team played with which we haven’t seen as often as some would like. That defensive awareness comes from the defensive unit playing together consistently¹ and as such it should be no surprise to learn that Szczesny, Sagna, Koz, Vermaelen, Gibbs, and Song have been Arsenal’s first choice defensive six during this five game win streak.

Sagna, in particular, had an immense game against Everton. That right side of the pitch is where Arsene concentrated much of the passing, possibly in an attempt to keep Leighton Baines in check. Baines rose to the challenge, however and the battle between Baines and Sagna was interesting. Both players ended up leading their respective teams in tackles.

But it was clear that Moyes targeted Sagna for a perceived aerial weakness possibly because one of the old Arsenal cliches is that the team is poor in the air and given that Sagna is smaller than most other defenders, and he was playing on the side that Baines was attacking targeting him sort of made sense. I made mention of this tactic last season; teams would target Clichy with long diagonals and contrary to popular opinion, Clichy actually defended aerials quite well.

The same thing happened yesterday. Everton targeted Sagna 17 times for aerial duels and Sagna won 14. I honestly cannot remember the last time I saw any player on any team win 14 aerial duels. To put that number in context, the entire Everton team only won 10 aerial duels. The cliche is that Arsenal are poor in the air and naturally you would want to pick on the smallest guy on the pitch, but Sagna proved that cliche wrong as he is one of Arsenal’s best defenders in terms of aerial duels.

I don’t think that Alex McLeish reads this blog so I will say that if you are going to pick on any of Arsenal’s defenders to target for heading practice, I would choose Gibbs or Vermaelen. They win their share of aerial duels (around 2 per game each) but their percentages are the lowest among the Arsenal defenders. But that’s the thing, people think Vermaelen is some monster in the air (it’s actually Koscienly) and who knows why they don’t target Gibbs — maybe because he’s English? Again, cliches.

Another weird thing that happened yesterday was Arsene starting both Ramsey and Rosicky at the same time. Most folks saw this lineup before the game and assumed that Rosicky would play wide and Ramsey more centrally. Instead, what happened was Arteta played nominally as the widest player (on the right) and the other three center mids all played, well, centrally with Ramsey acting as the furthest forward of the four — as evidenced by the fact that he had the most shots of anyone on Arsenal.

Don’t believe me? Here’s the pass maps for all of Arsenal’s center-mids:

The whole team’s passing patterns are very odd. Look at how much they all either played forward or back and how few times anyone passed from the center circle. Ramsey only made two passes out of the center circle in his entire time on the pitch.

And finally, there’s my least favorite phrase in the English language, Arsenal played with the handbrake on¹. This is the one that most perplexed me because after about the 19th minute I tweeted that Arsenal were playing with “it” on. Not only that, but looking at the second half stats you can see that Arsenal weren’t passing the ball with the same frequency that we are all used to. So, for example, Arsenal completed 140 passes in the first 19 minutes and 132 passes in the entire second half (at a 68% rate to boot).

But the question is, what constitutes the handbrake being on? Is the handbrake playing defensive football the way that they did yesterday (and against Barcelona) or is the handbrake when Arsenal lull themselves to sleep¹ with metronomic passing?

Personally, I think it’s the latter. When Arsenal get a lead and try to pass the opposition to sleep. That, for me, is Arsenal playing with the handbrake on. Lots of sideways passing, looking more to retain possession for possession’s sake then to win the game.

Yesterday, Arsenal came to win the game.¹

And finally, I want to give credit to Everton. They could fee a bit hard done by with the offside decision that went against them — though to be fair, Lee Mason and his crew were shit on both sides, how does he miss this foul? But having been on the wrong end of these results many time myself, I can say that the thing that hurts the most is not that they got a poor decision but that they gave 110%¹ and still couldn’t get a point from the game. A bit unfortunate, and I really hope that they go on to win the FA Cup. It’s the least they deserve.

Also, can we have Leighton Baines?

In the end it’s a great win for Arsenal¹ and keeps our momentum going¹ with a tough schedule ahead¹. With Chelsea losing to Man City, and that Nasri trade finally paying off, and with Stoke eeking out a draw against Tottenham, Arsenal move clear into third place on the League table: 1 point and 1 goal ahead of 4th place Spurs and 6 points clear of Chelsea.

It’s not over until the fat lady sings¹ but for the moment there’s only one team in London!

1. Just pointing out whenever I use a cliche

Qq

Everton v. Arsenal: a plague on both Scouses

70th minute. Score tied nil-nil. Arsenal’s former Everton man, Mikel Arteta, plays a seemingly innocent sideways ball to Alex Song who looks up, sees the devil in van Persie’s eyes and plays a 30 yard diagonal ball which drops perfectly over Phil Jagielka and which Robin van Persie hits on the volley. The ball seems to defy the laws of physics and curls around a stunned Tim Howard and into the net, far post.

Left, right, chip, volley, curl.

Celebration erupts from the clock end of the stadium as they all know that they have just witnessed the goal of the season.

Fast forward three months and now we are in Liverpool. Again the score is tied, this time 1-1. It’s stoppage time and Arsenal win a throw-in. This time Tomas Rosicky plays the innocuous sideways pass to Alex Song. Song takes a touch away from his marker and in the same moment looks up to see Robin van Persie, this time with blood in his eyes, and makes a near identical chipped pass which again Robin hits on the volley. This time, the Arsenal forward hits the ball with the same spin and curl but on the keeper’s short side.

Jubilation erupts in the away stands at Anfield. In a flash, the guy next to me has leaped two rows of seating in a vain attempt to touch Robin van Persie as he celebrates in front of us. The supporters who don’t try to get to Robin are jumping up and down with glee. Had it not been for his goal against Everton earlier in the year, this would have been my goal of the season.

It should be noted that on any other day I have a soft spot in my heart for Everton. Everton are a classy club who have some of my favorite supporters. Their manager has Everton playing good football, they have a great youth set-up, they spend within their means, and they have a great history.

But today’s not any other day.

Today Arsenal play Everton and Arsenal need three points because with Chelsea and Tottenham both playing today, the only way to guarantee that Arsenal stay (at least) in fourth place is to win today.

Arsenal could go as high as third place with a win and a Spurs draw or loss, which should be a target for the players but fourth place is a must.

Szczesny has said as much in the papers a while back, that overtaking Tottenham in the table is a target, so I expect that this Arsenal side will come out hungry. Hungry like they have been on this run of form which has seen them win four consecutive League matches from a losing position.

Everton are hungry as well. It would be a mistake for the manager and the players to look at Everton’s cup ties and think that they will be distracted. David Moyes will be looking to turn this game around on his players and instead of telling them to focus on the FA Cup replay this weekend, will probably tell them that the best way to prepare for that match is a win today.

I’m not sure which team Moyes will field today, because there’s some suggestion that he might play a weakened team, but if Leighton Baines and Tim Cahill get a start they will test Arsenal’s central defensive pairing with devilish crosses and wicked headers. Come to think of it, that’s what Everton will try to do no matter who their field.

Arsene has received his share of good news on the Arsenal injury front with all XI of the players who started against Newcastle fit for today. Not only that but Diaby played against Liverpool for the reserves side (he looked really poor — and he got stepped on again — but he did score a goal) and there are some rumblings that Coquelin might make a comeback in the next few weeks.

Mertesacker and Frimpong are done for the year but question marks remain over whether Jack Wilshere will regain fitness in time to play the two practice games for Arsenal in May that he needs so that he will be fit for his real target: to play in both Euro 2012 and the Olympics for England.*

Finally, one other thing to note about both Arsenal and Everton’s playing style: they have a knack for scoring goals at the death. Everton are arguably the better of the two having scored 11 of their 28 goals this season (39%) in the final 15 minutes of their matches. But Arsenal have scored more goals in the last 15 minutes than Everton (13) and have scored 24 of their 57 goals this season in the last 30 minutes of matches. That means Everton score nearly 40% of their goals in the last 15 minutes while Arsenal score 42% of their goals in the last 30 minutes.

Also, since Arsenal have allowed 16 goals in the last 30 minutes of their games  and Everton have allowed 14 goals in the last 30 minutes of their games (40% of the season total for Arsenal and 45% of the season total for Everton) this match looks like it’s shaping up to be a real barn burner.

Which just means that since I’ve now predicted a barn burner, the game will probably be settled in the first half hour.

Either way, today is an important match for both teams and all we can ask for is a good, clean match. An exciting game with end to end action and possibly some late goals to settle the result.

Oh and a double away win for Arsenal at both Liverpool teams: a plague on both Scouses.

Qq

*I’m being cynical and cheeky but Jack is the one who admitted that he is such a huge fan of England that he roots for Chelsea.

Arsene knows

Arsene Wenger 4th highest paid manager in world football and worth every pence

France Football released their list of the highest paid players and highest paid coaches in world football today and you might be surprised to learn that Robin van Persie did not make the list while Arsene Wenger is the fourth highest paid coach in the world. Alternately, if you have followed Arsenal for any time and have been moderately awake for the last 10 years then neither of those facts will surprise you but they might instead cause you consternation.

One would have to be intentionally obtuse to see Robin’s omission from the world’s top 20 highest paid players as anything other than a function of his career arc combined with Arsenal’s salary structure. There is no doubt that Robin is in the top 5 players in the world right now in terms of quality but the reason he’s not in the top 20 in terms of salary is down to the fact that in the years leading up to this, he spent far too much time injured to warrant a new contract.

Robin van Persie’s previous career high in terms of appearances came in 2008-2009 where he made 44 appearances and scored 20 goals. After the success of that season, van Persie signed a new contract with Arsenal. He then spent the next year and a half sidelined with various injuries, including a broken foot caused by Georgio Chiellini whilst playing for Holland in an international friendly. From June 2009 — when he signed his new contract with Arsenal — to January 2011, Robin van Persie would score just 11 goals for Arsenal in 30 total appearances.

We don’t know what could have been had Robin been healthy for that year and a half. Perhaps he would have scored 20+ goals a season in each of them and been rewarded last year with another, bigger, contract extension. What we do know is that he was injured, he wasn’t producing goals for his team, and that Arsenal had no logical reason to give him the bumper contract.

Until now.

Robin has emerged from his injury hell not only as one of the top footballers in the world but also as one of the best captains in world football. The power duo of Robin and his wife Bouchra deserve massive credit for Arsenal’s turnaround this season. If Arsenal secure fourth or third in the League this season, Robin and his wife deserve a share of the credit.

One final thought on van Persie: Arsenal should take note of some of the salaries on that table and especially the fact that they combine salary with endorsement deals. I know that Peter Hill-Wood said that for Robin “salary doesn’t matter” but if you’re a player and you see Kun Aguero earning £300,000 a week (£16m per annum) you might be disappointed if Arsenal come in with some ridiculous low-ball offer.

Unlike Robin van Persie, Arsene Wenger has been very consistent for the Arsenal board for 14 years running which at least partially explains why he is earning €9m - or £7.5m-  a year.

The temptation is to look at the names on the list of the top 10 football managers and wonder how Wenger is earning his keep when he “hasn’t won a trophy for six years.” After all, you see Jose Mourinho, Pep Guardiola, and Sir Alex Ferguson on there, earning top dollar while winning trophies and it’s an easy association. But here’s the list:

  1. Jose Mourinho (Real Madrid) €14.8m
  2. Carlo Ancelotti (PSG) €13.5m
  3. Pep Guardiola (Barcelona) €9.5m
  4. Arsene Wenger (Arsenal) €9m
  5. Guus Hiddink (Anzhi Makhachkala) €8.6m
  6. Fabio Capello (England, formerly) €8.5m
  7. Sir Alex Ferguson (Manchester United) €8m,
  8. Dick Advocaat (Russia) €7m
  9. Jose Antonio Camacho (China) €6.1m
  10. Roberto Mancini (Manchester City) €5.9m

If you ignore Pep, Jose, Ancelotti, and Fergie for a moment there are a number  of names on that list who haven’t won much in the last six years. Hiddink is seen as the savior of Chelsea and yet his only trophy for that team was the FA Cup. Capello won la Liga with Real Madrid in 2007 and his two previous trophies with Juventus were both revoked because of the Calciopoli scandal. And Camacho’s only trophy is that he won the Portuguese Cup in 2004.

I would argue that those teams are paying for how good they believe that coach to be and that in most cases the belief doesn’t match the reality. Capello, in particular, is easily the most overpaid manager on that list. For a guy whose job was to manage just a handful of games*, £7m a year is obscene.

With Wenger, though, those who are drawn to criticize the manager will point to his salary, the lack of trophies, and the poor performance in the early part of this season and will say things like “if I performed that poorly on my job, for that salary, I’d be fired!”

The problem with that criticism is that it doesn’t take into consideration all of the factors that are considered for Arsene’s pay package. For example, Wenger’s high salary is almost certainly tied to the fact that he is the most successful manager in Arsenal’s 125 year history, the fact that he has built that success on the back of a financial model which no other coach apart from Fergie could accomplish, and on the financial results he’s able to deliver to the club.

I don’t know too many people who could argue that Arsene isn’t the most successful manager in Arsenal history: two doubles, the Invincibles, 2 more FA Cups, 4 Charity Shields and 14 consecutive Champions League seasons leaves Arsene Wenger peerless among Arsenal managers. That leaves people with the last 6 years without a trophy to beat the man with. Which is fair enough as I’m sure Wenger would criticize himself for a lack of trophies over the last six years.

Wenger would, however, ask you to consider the context of those last six years. It’s been a period of growth for the club in terms of building a new stadium and a period in which the League has seen explosive growth in player salaries, transfers and in the cost of running a Premier League club. In that context, Wenger has been asked to operate the team with a limited budget and in fact, has been expected to turn something of a profit in order to help pay down the stadium debt.

Arsenal’s financial results are well known and freely available for you to download so I’m not going to cover that ground once again. I would just like to point out that operating profit from football (excluding player trading, exceptional items, and depreciation) was £56.8m in 2010 and the profit from player sales in 2010 was £38.1m. 2011 saw a dip in profits from football to £45.8m and in profit from player sales to a measly £6.8m. You can go back through all of the years of Wenger’s tenure at Arsenal and you’ll see similarly strong financial results: the fact is that Wenger’s system of football and his transfer nous delivers massive profits to the club. Arsenal supporters often get bogged down in deals like the one which brought Park Chu-Young to the club and cost a possible £6m when the deals they should be talking about constantly are the ones that saw Adebayor, Toure, Clichy, and Nasri sold to Man City for insane profits.

So, what do you pay a manger who not only fields a team which is competitive on most fronts (they beat Barcelona in the Champions League last year) but who also delivers massive profits to the board in player sales and in gate receipts? I don’t know but if you just look at player sales between 2010 and 2011 and divide it by his annual salary of £7.5m, he’s paid for 7 years of his own salary just in player sales — in those two years alone. And that was before the debacle of this summer with Cesc Fabregas and Samir Nasri.

There are more complicated metrics by which you can measure how valuable Arsene Wenger is to the team and the club. For example, Zach Slaton’s M£XI metric suggests that Arsene Wenger is one of the top performers in the Premier League in terms of squad costs** per point. If M£XI is correct then Wenger is not only performing in terms of profits for the board but also in terms of getting maximum value from the players he uses on the pitch in terms of points per game.

So, what do you pay a manager like Arsene Wenger? The guy who is the most successful manager in the history of the club both on the pitch and in the board room? £7.5m doesn’t seem like a stretch at all.

In the end, the issue of Robin van Persie and Arsene Wenger’s relative salaries is not going to go away any time soon. I suspect that for some the arguments I have laid out here will be nothing more than brickbats for which to beat the manager, the team, the club, and the board. But for me, I see the logic why each is paid what they earn.

Oh… and one last thing: please, pay Robin whatever he wants. There’s nothing wrong with a little illogic every once in a while. As they say, “all things in moderation, even moderation.”

*I’m fully aware of a national manager’s other responsibilities: watching to games, learning English, giving interviews three times a year, doing stuff for the whole national team set up. It must have been very taxing — especially when you consider that a real football manager does all that, plus manages 50+ games a year.
**Most people use the Soccernomics model of salary v. League position, Zach’s model uses squad value instead and it’s intriguing in the results he shows. Read the entire article and look at his back catalog if you have the time. Full disclosure, Zach and I are supposed to do a joint article on this topic which I was hoping to have out before the France Football list of top earners but which was sidelined.