(This is a follow up to this post back in May)
I have added the player’s previous season goals haul (Y-1) and the difference between that season and the Golden Boot winner of that same season (Y-1 Diff). This gives us three seasons of goal scoring to look at for each Golden Boot winner and from that we can see some patterns.
- There have only been six players who have scored 30+ goals in a single season since the start of the Premier League.
- There have only been three players who increased their output the year after they won the Golden Boot.
- There have only been five players in 20 years who have not seen a drop in their output the year after they won the Golden Boot.
- The average drop in output is -9 goals.
- The average drop in output for the last seven seasons is -14 goals.
- There have only been four players who had a better goal scoring record the year before they won the Golden Boot.
- The average difference between a player’s output the season before the Golden Boot and the season they win the Golden Boot is -6 goals.
- Kevin Phillips is the only player to have scored more goals than the Golden Boot winner in the same season. He pulled off this amazing feat because he played in the old first division.
- Before 2001-2002 the Golden Boot winner’s team finished in the top four just six times.
- Since 2001-2001 every Golden Boot winner’s team has finished in the top four, both in the season they win the award and the season after.
- Only one Golden Boot winner’s team has been relegated the year after they had a player win Golden Boot
- Only two players have won Golden Boot in three consecutive seasons: Shearer and Henry.
- Only one player has won Golden Boot four out of five seasons: Thierry Henry.
- Theirry Henry would have won five consecutive Golden Boot awards had he scored just one more goal in 2002/2003 instead of getting 23 assists.
- Yes, you read that right. 24 goals, 23 assists in 2002/2003. I’m counting that as a fucking Golden Boot.
- There was only one Golden Boot winner who left England the year after he won the Golden Boot (Dutchman Jimmy Floyd Hassleebaienekes)
- There have only been 7 seasons in which the team with the Golden Boot winner did better the year after their player won the Golden Boot
- Only two of those teams’ seasons coincide with the player doing as well or better than the season before, but JFH doesn’t count because he went to Athletico Madrid.
To editorialize for a second: the team finish data since 2001 is really interesting. The fact that only six of the thirteen previous Golden Boot winners were in a top four team and that the last twelve Golden Boot winners all played for top four teams correlates with the explosion of wealth in the Premier League. It looks like there is less competition, that the best players are concentrated in the top teams, and that smaller clubs have less to root for.