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Arsenal v. West Ham: first half stats and Momo’s “trial”

First off a thank you to everyone for your remarks in yesterday’s article asking “why do you watch sports?” Perhaps the reason I asked the question is, as Gombak Hillbillies posited, because Arsenal are struggling lately. It is true that very few ever question a winning team. But the reality is that the question of why we invest so much time watching sports and arguing about sports is a topic that interests me philosophically and I wanted to get some perspective from the people I trust, my long suffering readers. You didn’t disappoint and fear not your ideas did not fall on deaf ears.

The especially interesting angle in all this is why the Arsenal community is so much more active than virtually every other sports community in the world? It’s not just a question of why does anyone watch sports but rather what is it about Arsenal that engages its fans in such a diverse way but with such equally fervent support? Why does Arsenal have a whole wing of our supporter armada which are just down on the club and down on the other supporters and another wing which supports Arsene Wenger religiously? How can this club simultaneously be revered for beautiful football and have a large contingent of supporters who pine for the George Graham era? Those are but two examples and not meant to be an extensive catalog of dichotomies at Arsenal FC.

Anyway, it’s a topic I’m interested in and I appreciate everyone’s comments.

And speaking of the George Graham days, Arsenal fans who pine for a return to Graham’s 3-5-2 defense-first, long ball system, get to see one up close and personal as the much derided Sam Allardyce brings his West Ham team to North London to face Arsenal this evening at the Grove.

I’m over the critique that some teams don’t play the “right type of football.” There is no right or wrong type of football. If West Ham want to play a one dimensional game and lump the ball forward, rather than moan, it’s our job to deal with that by closing down the more skilled passers in midfield like Mark Noble, who leads all outfield players with 4.2 long passes per game.

Complaining about some ideal of football is silliness of the second highest order, only surpassed by this critique that West Ham’s long ball game are setting back the English national team. I don’t care about the English National team, I only care that Arsenal get all three points today and in order to do that Arsenal will need to gird their lines against an aerial assault the likes of which they haven’t seen since, well, since Stoke.

The other complaint most oft leveled against Sam Allardyce teams is that they are dirty. I accept that criticism. At the very least, Allardyce’s teams like to ride the line of legality: rotational fouling is the rule as are cynical fouls to stop play. It’s up to the official to control this and today’s official is Andre Marriner. Marriner usually doesn’t allow too much kicking, so I expect West Ham to be the ones feeling hard done by the referee.

The Hammers will come out strong in the first part of the game in order to get a sense of both the referee and how the Arsenal are going to play today. It is crucial that Arsenal come out strong in the first half, something that they have not done enough of this season. As you can see from the chart below, Arsenal have the worst first half performances of any of the top seven teams this season.

halfs

80% of Arsenal’s goal difference comes in the second half of games, mostly thanks to a much improved defensive record. It’s too early to say that Arsenal focus on defense more in the second halves of games, the better defensive record could just be down to teams getting an early goal and then holding on for the points, more investigation is required. But it is indisputable that Arsenal have a worse record in the first halves of games than the second and Wenger admitted as much in his pre-match press conference.

The consistency of our performances within a game is worrying. When you see us in the first half and us in the second half, it’s difficult to believe that we are exactly the same team.

Part of the problem against Chelsea was that the team is overly reliant on players returning from injury. Wenger praised Diaby saying that he “dug deep” to play against Chelsea as he was clearly not physically fit. But, Arsene also bemoaned the defensive midfield position saying that it is the position the club is most short in (there will be a second article today on that topic). Diaby has a fitness test today and if he fails, Arsenal will probably have to field Frimpong given the fact that Coquelin picked up a hamstring injury in the Chelsea match. Arsene could put Wilshere in the more defensive role, he is the most “tigerish”, and slot Ramsey in the shuttler role. But against a team like West Ham who will probably be tasked with closing down Arsenal’s midfield and in front of a crowd which is, let’s just admit it, hostile toward Ramsey I’m hesitant to name him as a starter.

While everyone moans at every stray pass from the Arsenal midfield, they will be carefully watching Momo Diame’s performance for West Ham today. John Cross has gone so far as to call it a “trial” and that he will probably earn a switch to Arsenal if he puts in a good shift. I’m not so sure.

Diame is a good dribbler and he did score against Arsenal in the first meeting of the two teams. But Diame is also one of the laziest players I’ve seen in midfield and I wonder if his label as a “tough tackler” isn’t entirely because of his first season at Wigan. I know that many will ohh and ahh whenever he dribbles past someone but I would suggest you look at his positioning and his work rate instead of the Hollywood dribbles. I think he’s the kind of player who hides, unlike Ramsey, and yes, I just set myself up for being slaughtered but I have watched him extensively this season and I’m not his biggest fan. I actually like Mark Noble better, he’s much more consistent. Now watch as Diame has the match of a lifetime.

What isn’t debatable is that Arsene will have both Ox and Podolski back from illness. I don’t expect much change from the starting offensive lineup against Chelsea, which is to say that we will probably see Theo and Giroud in the forward spots, but Podolski and Ox coming off the bench is exactly what was missing against Chelsea.

And finally, I just want to point out that Arsenal’s record at the moment is P22 W9 D7 L7 F41 A26 GD+15 PTS34. Should they win today, Arsenal will have 37 points after 23 games and a goal difference above +15. Just for your information, last season after 23 games the Arsenal record was P23 W11 D4 L8 F39 A33 GD+6 PTS37.

So, a win today means this team has improved on Arsenal of last season offensively and defensively?

Maybe, let’s get the win first. And get it with a good first half performance for once.

Qq

10 thoughts on “Arsenal v. West Ham: first half stats and Momo’s “trial”

  1. Vote -1 Vote +1foreverheady

    This Arsenal team very much a work in progress, and that partly explains the slow starts, because the younger players don’t always immediately impose
    themselves on a game in the way more seasoned pros do. As much as anything the team needs strengthening by two alpha players who are used to bossing it and whose influence spreads confidence in us and fear in the oppo.

    If Mo Diame was a genuine target why wait until after this game to buy him, so I suspect he is a smokescreen as much as anything – after all there is no logic in letting him damage us first! I remain convinced that there is another more ambitious taget for the midfield who will probably come for a cash plus TR deal: time alone will tell, and Audenesquely I just hope he will pnly say I told you so.

  2. Vote -1 Vote +1DAWA

    Amen. I think your analysis should have include our perfomance against teams below us. Which is to much extent huge with 29points. We can be sloppy at home sometimes.

  3. Vote -1 Vote +1Zeddington

    Agreed on Diame – not a fan. Watched him a few times and frankly I don’t care if he’s a dribbler. Was Gilberto Silva a dribbler? No, but he was fucking awesome. He did his job and he did it well.

    But I’m getting to the point where somebody – anybody – will do, including Diame. I mean, we may be playing Ramsey and Wilshere there today – Ramsey who gets pushed off the ball all the time, and Wilshere who should be further up creating. Two none-so-tall players either, against Fat Sam of all people. Hell, even Diaby is a far-from-ideal choice in that position.

    We’ll concede tonight, I’m sure of it. But we’ll hopefully win anyway.

  4. Vote -1 Vote +1Ssinderias

    Didn’t Diame score once already against us this season? Tim you have gone and set him up to score a spectacular goal against us today. But I can feel it building already. We are going to win today regardless of who score for West Ham. So there!
    Come on you Gooners!!!

  5. Vote -1 Vote +1Eddykane

    Not an expert tactician but think the last few games prove a simple equation, high work rate + pressing high up + closing down space normally equals a positive result. on the other hand a lazy start + allowing opposition time on the ball means you gonna struggle. to simplify play shit get beat. simples.
    for tonight can someone just cut that fuckin handbrake cable, and pour some of that mental strength into their lucozade.
    3-1 to the arsenal.

  6. -1 Vote -1 Vote +1Bunburyist

    I never expect us to win anymore, it’s that bad. I used to feel fairly confident about our chances against West Ham, but we just look so insipid, so toothless, and so bereft of ideas these days that I can’t see 3 points today. Maybe 2-2 (after leading 2-1 going into the last ten minutes)?

    Would love to be pleasantly surprised today…

    [defeatist sobbing]

  7. Vote -1 Vote +1loose cannon

    some posts back you said arsenal played helter-skelter, which was how the scoreline reflected. in today’s match we were clean and there were goals that didn’t originated from counter attack. we had some passing and AW seemed quite impressed by the pace of passing. who was the difference between today’s game & newcastle game?

  8. +1 Vote -1 Vote +1ignatzuk

    On the subject of why the Arsenal community, in particular, is so active, I can only guess. North London club, relatively successful, relatively wealthy, well-educated and well-traveled (therefore far-flung) fanbase, perhaps more issues than other clubs to argue about (note: not more problems, but more issues to disagree or give one’s opinion on).

    One thing’s for sure and that’s that the Arsenal brand is one of the best and most attractive in world sport. I always loved the way Arsenal looked, the cannon on the shield, their reputation as a tough and traditional club, and then Wenger came, bought Henry and shit just exploded. Now we have the blend of tradition, quality and modernity that marketers fap themselves thinking about (This is sometimes an under-discussed side to the Wenger effect: that wizened old Frenchman made us sexy around the planet). Get back to winning ways and we have it sewn up.

    I liked Arsenal from the age of about three, because a friend liked Arsenal. And then when I was 5 or 6 we went up to London one weekend to visit my aunt. It was early spring, sunny and cold, so we went out in the back yard where I heard this insane, magical, enormous rush of sound that boomed down from the clear blue sky. I couldn’t believe it when my aunt told me that was the sound of Arsenal scoring, in Highbury, just half a mile away. Then I loved Arsenal.

    You’ve probably written about it already, but I’d be interested to hear how Statesers like yourself Tim made the journey to being a gooner. Seems to me you would have had further to go and more diversions and obstacles in your way, so something must have driven you pretty hard towards the sport and the club.

  9. Vote -1 Vote +1shubham

    You wrote the arsenal record in the last para wrong. Arsenal did not lose 7 but only 6 games! :)
    I am a very new fan, I began watching football back in 2010 itself and since then I have been a constant follower of Arsenal. Its been kind of a bumpy ride for me because the team has changed thrice in 3 years since I began following football, making me go crazy at times. All I want to see is the free flowing, spirited and passionate football that I believe is associated with the Arsenal I fell in love with. These days our midfield has become very unpredictable. I feel the heart of Arsenal i.e. the midfield needs some time together to create the spark which is currently missing. Other than that I just hope the players who play in Arsenal love the team like we do, I think that’s the reason I like Wilshere and Podolski.

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