Man City v. Arsenal: Stats Preview

Man City have the best home form in the League having played 7 and won 7, scoring a League best 29 goals and conceding a League best 2.

Arsenal have the best away form in the League having played 7, won 5, drawn 1, scoring a League best 14 and allowing a League best 5.

Man City have the third best shots per game rate at home with 18.

Arsenal have the 5th best shots per game rate away with 13.1.

Man City have the best shots allowed per game rate at 9.7 and the second best home rate with 8.9.

Arsenal have only allowed 12 shots per game on away days, the 6th best in the League.

Man City boast the second best shots on goal per game rate at home with 7.7.

Arsenal have the fourth best shots on goal per game rate of 5.1 in their away matches.

Man City’s record against top 10 teams* at home is P5 W5 F20 A2

Arsenal’s record against top 10 teams away is P2 W1 L1 F2 A2

Arsenal have scored more goals than any other team away at City in the Premier League era with 28.

6 of those Arsenal goals have come in the last 4 matches, of which Arsenal have only won once.

Qq

*Teams currently in the top 10.

26 thoughts on “Man City v. Arsenal: Stats Preview

  1. +1 Vote -1 Vote +1Nikki

    Well, we are better when we become underdog anyway. After the defeat at Naples, we need to show character to stand up again, this time not again a “small teams” but again the much fancied Man City. This battle will come down to individual brilliance and hopefully we repeat the result in our last encounter with Man City. Is it 3-0 for us in our last friendly?

    On another note, I think Tim or people who love this blog would like to read this interview or even the book. I got the link from ArsenalColumn and is really insightful. It shows how Wenger is tactically astute then you would know and in the future might be getting more respect when he said that he focus more on his own team than the opponents, plus more insight on why Giroud role is important and why Walcott not getting the striker role he prefer. http://tomkinstimes.com/2013/11/interview-with-jed-davies-football-coach-and-author/

    1. Vote -1 Vote +1jax

      i can see where you’re coming from on this. We had two goals wrongly ruled out. Giroud’s was given offside against Ozil interfering with play. Hmmm! I don’t think so! And Bendtner was very fractionally off (on his goal), but many like this get given, and the officials are supposed to give advantage to the attacking team on these sort of decisions. Milner was falling (diving?) before Wojciech touched him. I can’t see the penalty against Zabalets really. The ball bounced off of his thigh onto his arm. So yes, 5-5. But even then, you have to see City scoring again and again if we’d caught up with them.

  2. Vote -1 Vote +1Ssinderias

    Was it the same linesman who at the Emirates reminded Man. City players their fans fad paid £62 to watch the game?

  3. +5 Vote -1 Vote +1nycgunner

    I thought we showed a lot of heart today despite shipping 6 goals. Referee was poor but not sure if that would changed the result in any meaningful way. The good thing about playing a team like City at their fortress is that it gives you a chance to properly measure yourself as a team. We showed courage and fight but we lacked a little bit of calm in MF that was much needed. I love Jack and Aaron but they still need to mature. They make mistakes when put under pressure by a good team and that’s been a recurring theme. Flamini puts himself about in MF but Arleta has better positional awareness. I felt today we needed a player who can do both. Giroud showed both his good and bad qualities today – though mostly good it has to be said.

    It’s games like these when you really need someone on the bench who can come in and make a difference. I don’t see how we don’t buy in Jan. This is a good team but they need help to get them over the line and still need a couple more players to compete against the very best.

  4. +2 Vote -1 Vote +1St!ck123

    Wow. Well, the performance at Napoli was far worse, although Per and Kos both fell asleep completely and allowed goals today. But to get so screwed by the refs is remarkable and makes it really hard to begrudge the players (two good goals ruled out for offsides, Walcott mis-called offside before he could square to players in scoring position, a penalty for us not called, a penalty against us called when Milner did the old drag foot and dive). We put five good goals in the net and had a clear penalty denied… so yeah, not happy about the defensive lapses, but at least it wasn’t the spineless disgustingness of the 2nd half at Napoli. With two days rest a loss was expected, but having to play against the refs as well made it remarkable… if you’ve never seen the refs throw a game against Arsenal before.

    1. Vote -1 Vote +1Feng

      couldn’t agree more…City looked in control of the match, but if those decisions were made correctly the news would be all about how “plucky Arsenal steal the points”. And you never know how the match would have turned out.

      Can’t believe how little mention there was of the officiating in the news.

  5. +1 Vote -1 Vote +1locixloci

    Sure some decisions went against Arsenal, but I’m not convinced they would have wholly accounted for the difference. Man City played well, but not exceptionally so. Arsenal didn’t exactly cover themselves in glory with their performance. Late on, Man City ran riot through an Arsenal defence that had utterly lost it’s discipline. The midfield, intent on attack, provided it with no protection or cover. It was a bit of a shambles in truth.

    1. +2 Vote -1 Vote +11NiltotheArsenal

      Agree.

      We are quick to blame refereeing and the handful of sugar daddies who outspend us and the rest of the football world combined. I am sick of talking about the Emir’s money. We need to take account of ourselves. I was expecting nothing from this match (as I had predicted earlier on here), but 6-3?? We looked totally out of our depth.

      Not a good day at the office.

  6. Vote -1 Vote +1dy

    a 2/3 goals margin against Arsenal was expected but not 6-3, which only meant we’re chasing trying to equalize leaving our back totally exposed, classic result actually. We learnt our lesson, hopefully next time around we play with a better strategy. 3 points lost and that’t about it.

  7. +1 Vote -1 Vote +1Tim

    Man City played exceptionally well and ripped us an new Arsenal. They took 22 shots, 10 from prime positions. The tale of the tape was that Arsenal were a great defensive team, forcing the opposition into taking the majority of their shots from the 2% range, but we allowed City to take 10 in the danger area and just two from distance. A completely upside down defensive performance from what was required to win a match like this. Everyone was worried about Walcott but The left side (Monreal) was unbelievably exposed time and again. Going forward, Arsenal did fine, but defensively I have to wonder if this team isn’t full of imposters.

  8. +1 Vote -1 Vote +1ctpa

    I’m going to predict that Mourinho will be flapping his gums hard this week trying upset a ‘wounded’ Arsenal. i will also predict that Arsenal will beat Chelsea.

  9. +1 Vote -1 Vote +1ctpa

    The good news about this game was that Nasri (and Clichy) did not score. The bad news was that 5 out of the 14 players Man City had on the pitch contributed to the 6-3 scoreline ;O

  10. Vote -1 Vote +1Glowworm

    The war may not over, but if we don’t get quality reinforcement, I see us getting embroiled in a fight for 4th (yet again!) with no guarantee that we will even win it. Giroud and Ramsey, Per, Kos, and Ozil are knackered…once you get in that red zone, how long before you can regain that “freshness”?

  11. +2 Vote -1 Vote +1Tee Söng

    I’m not sure how people can say that Citeh didn’t play that well. It wasn’t beyond them to score three or four more. I’d hate to see them play at their best. We didn’t defend as well as we have but their combination play and off the ball movement was absolutely fantastic and it pulls defenses apart. And fans having a go at Monreal don’t understand football very much. He was constantly defending alone in 2 v 1 situations. Our left side was vulnerable because Wilshere was constantly defending centrally.

    At the end of the day, we’ve nine days to get this result out of our system, get some much needed rest, iron out the problems that were exposed, and get ready for a truly important game against Chel$ki. We’re still top of the table and we’ve managed to get their despite also leading the injury table for much of the season. Theo showed why he can be such an important layer for us.

    As long as Giroud is our main central striker, goals will have to come from other areas of the pitch. So far this season, Ramsey has picked up the slack and is our leading goalscorer. If he ends the season as our leading scorer, he’ll win player of the year but we won’t win the title. Being dependent on one of your two deepest midfielders to score unbalances the team. In order to score, Aaron obviously needs to push forward but that will leave a huge gap in front of our defense and teams, especially good ones like ManShitty and Chel$ki, will exploit that gap. We desperately need Theo, Santi, and Poldi to start scoring goals and remove scoring responsibility from Aaron. That will allow him to be much more selective in when he moves forward. He’ll still score important goals by making late runs forward and also on the counter.

    And Giroud seems to have regressed to his mean as far as his conversion rate. Seven goals from 55 shots, with one a penalty and the other the Boruc gift, is poor for a forward. I love his all around play but can we really expect to win the title with a forward who only converts 10% of his shots? It’ll only happen if our other forwards and attacking midfielders are converting at a far higher rate.

    1. Vote -1 Vote +1nycgunner

      A couple of weeks ago I made the argument that Giroud could be our Mandzukic – a guy who doesn’t score a lot but compliments the team’s style of playing. In the last couple of weeks I’ve come to reconsider that position. The main reason is that Bayern has players all over the pitch who score goals – Ribery, Robben, Kroos, Muller.. We currently only have Ramsey scoring on a regular basis and as you rightly point out, that responsibility is affecting other aspects of his game.

      The thing is as much as I like Giroud helping us out defensively, I would rather we have a team that doesn’t have to rely on their striker to help out in defense and a striker who does what a striker should do – score goals. I would rather we have a MF player who has the positional awareness of Arteta and the buzz of Flamini – an Armini if you will. That’s a player we aren’t likely to get soon but what we can do is buy another striker. I think at this point you also have to consider buying a winger. Even with Poldi and Walcott back, I suspect we will still be too narrow and leave our full backs exposed – especially in games against Utd, Chelsea and City.

      Everything that could have gone wrong went wrong yesterday. Poor officiating, bad managerial decisions, individual errors – everything played their part in the defeat. I don’t want to be too hard on the team on the back of one defeat but to me it was a clear indication that we are still not a team that can win this league. I fear that it’s only a matter of time till City’s home form carries over to their away form. We need to somehow match, or at least come closer, to their depth in quality.

      For now it’s upto to the manager to put his house in order and win the home game vs. the thunder cunts of the oligarch. Then he must look to buy some reinforcements in Jan.

      1. Vote -1 Vote +1Tee Söng

        Interestingly, I thought Bayern was the template for us too. But while they don’t necessarily need Mandzukic to be a 25 goal scorer, he’s still a very clinical finisher. From last season through today, he’s scored an eye popping 25 goals from 102 shots.

        In fact I’ve taken the liberty of looking at the top three teams from the big five European leagues. Basically, every single one of those teams has a center forward who’s converting at least 15% of his shots. Most of those forwards are converting close to or over 20%. There’s only four exceptions. Roma basically play a mobile front three with Totti orchestrating as a false nine. Leverkeusen’s Kiesling has converted nine goals from 40 shots but the previous two seasons he had a 21% conversion rate. Chel$ki’s three forwards are converting at a combined 9%. And Giroud, if you want to count his penalty and the Boruc gift, is at 12.7%.

        Giroud projects to having 130 shots for us this season. That’s 13 goals at what I consider to be his true conversion rate. It means that if we had forward who converted at 18%, he’d have 23 goals. So we need ten “extra” goals from other players to compensate for that inefficiency. So the big question is does his presence on the pitch allow other players to score more efficiently? Are we more efficient as a collective attacking unit, despite Giroud’s own goalscoring inefficiency, and does that collective efficiency overcome Giroud’s lack of composure in front of goal?

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