Arsenal v. Liverpool: is there anything left to say?

Neither team is any where near the same as they were when they met back in August. Liverpool have dramatically changed their players, their manager, and even their owners in the last eight months. Arsenal have also gone through a pretty major transformation of players as well as a supporter revolution and a change of ownership as well.
In many ways, that first game of the season would be indicative of the way the rest of the year would go. Both teams got a controversial red card that day and Arsenal would play 31 games which would have 14 red cards, an unprecedented number of red cards both for and against. If you look at either penalties or red cards, Arsenal have had some type of major refereeing decision effect 17 of our 31 games. Even Manchester United, who many feel gets special treatment by referees, has only had major refereeing intervention in 12 games.
From a player standpoint, both Arsenal and Liverpool’s keepers were unsettled owing in large part to Arsenal shopping around for keepers in the Summer. Reina has since solidified his play after having his head turned by Arsenal and Arsenal have since ejected Almunia in favor of the 20 year old Wonder of Warsaw, Wojciech Szczesny. Szczesny has quickly become a fan favorite, so much so that talk of buying a big named keeper such as Buffon is often met with derisive laughter and Reina has had a £20m transfer valuation placed in his contract — both of those situations took nearly the entire season for both teams to sort out.
Meanwhile, Arsenal suffered their perennial “important player out for the year” as Vermaelen spent the year waiting for a surgery which had it been done right away, would have resulted in Vermaelen playing back in November. I blame the European Socialized Medicine for such a long waiting list on his surgery, it must be the only reason, Arsenal’s physios couldn’t possibly have gotten that wrong. Not with their sterling track record.
Liverpool had their own personnel problems as Mascherano went to Barcelona and in the biggest trade of the Winter Andy Carroll took his ponytail and penchant for nightclubbing South West across England. Liverpool also changed managers dumping Roy Hodgson in favor of former legend Kenny Dalglish.
Dalglish didn’t change much in terms of formation and style, Liverpool are still a traditional 4-4-2 team who attack down the wings and tackle well in the midfield, but he provided that motivation that the team seemed to lack under Hodgson.
And now Liverpool are showing some fight, having beaten both Manchester United and Manchester City to claim second place in the all important Mini-League Title Race.

Credit to Dalglish then, who is getting the most from his players, something that a very vocal group of Arsenal supporters wish they could say about Arsenal.
Looking at the wins over both Manchester teams I have noticed that while Liverpool haven’t changed their style the addition of Carroll has been massive. Obviously, he’s not winning every header but he wins enough that Liverpool have started using him not to bypass the midfield, but rather to bring the midfield forward.

Above you can see Carroll’s passing in the game against Manciti. Notice how deep he’s coming to win the ball — and it’s important to note that many of those are knock downs to Meireles, Suarez, and Lucas.
So while Carroll is dominating the aerial battles in midfield, it frees Suarez up to roam all around the opposition defense.

It’s a very traditional English style attack and it’s complimented perfectly by the wing play from Kuyt and Meireles with Lucas and Spearing sitting tight in midfield.
If you look at their defensive style they aren’t the type of team who will play the passing lanes or close space to force errant passes, they are a team who collectively tackle to win the ball back. Against Manchester City, they won 25 of 30 tackles on the ground. Arsenal against the same Manciti side won just 14 of their 24 ground tackles but they had 21 interceptions and Liverpool’s interceptions? Just 15.
It’s going to be a tough physical test for Arsenal both on the ground and in the air and if I was manager I’d be tempted to let Carroll win headers near the midfield line and mark the creative midfielders out of the game. Carroll isn’t the type of striker who will get his own goals very often, and it’s telling that Meireles set up two of Liverpool’s goals against Manciti and that Suarez is the one who broke open the Man U defense a few weeks back. Defensively, Arsenal need to starve service to Carroll from the creative midfielders.
Offensively, it will be interesting to see what Dalglish does. It’s a stone cold fact that Arsenal’s style is easily countered with two banks of four defending deep. Doing that could leave Carroll isolated and given his lack of creative ability I’d be surprised to see Liverpool play that way. They aren’t coming to Arsenal to get a draw.
On the Arsenal end of the pitch defensively they will want to keep the corners down to an absolute minimum. Carroll is a huge threat there but so is Dirk Kuyt a player who never fails to impress with his hard work and heart. If you see Arsene start one of Arsenal’s bigger center forwards it will be to provide some size on set pieces.
I’m also interested to see if Arsene will go for man-marking in midfield. I know that Arsenal haven’t up to this point but like I said above, it’s a strategy that might work.
Offensively, the key to the game is going to be quick, counter-attacking football. Arsenal will need to be as direct as possible against Liverpool who are vulnerable to pace. You could start Theo Walcott to provide that pace, but I’d be tempted to bring him on later when he can really pull the Liverpool defense apart.
Again, it might seem strange to suggest but having a big player up front for Arsenal might help the midfield become a bit more productive. Cesc hasn’t scored in the League since the win over Chelsea and Nasri last found the net in the League just 4 days later. They have both spent a lot of energy trying to be the lone creative force in the side, it would be a nice break if Nasri could get some service and who better to provide that than Chamakh?
And finally, the referee tomorrow is Andre Marriner and truth be told, we probably shouldn’t even talk about him. In fact, I’m not going to tell you what his record is with Arsenal — you can look it up for yourself.
But in the end, what’s really left to say? With 129,000 Arsenal blogs we know the importance of the game. We know that people have questioned the heart, head, and hamstrings of this Arsenal team. And we know what we’d all like to see from Arsenal: three points.


